Journal of Economics and Social Dynamics - WM

From Oil to Stability: A Study of Rentier Economies and Social Movements in GCC Countries

Abstract

This study employs a mixed-methods analytical approach, drawing on multi-source data to examine the mechanisms of political stability and the absence of demand-driven social movements within the governance structures of GCC countries. The theoretical framework integrates concepts from rentier state theory, oil based economies, late-stage rentierism, and neo-patrimonial governance models. The findings indicate that the United Arab Emirates has successfully maintained political cohesion and managed social discontent by pursuing parallel strategies in both economic and political domains. Economically, policy initiatives have aimed to reduce dependence on hydrocarbon revenues and expand productive sectors to mitigate structur al vulnerabilities. Politically, a quasi-responsive governance model has emerged-one that largely fulfills citizens' welfare demands while severely restricting democratic and political participation. Nevertheless, factors such as generational shifts, the rise of a politically marginalized middle class, demographic transfor mations, declining oil resources, and increased public awareness may catalyze future political change and democratic challenges in the region.

DOI: doi.org/10.63721/25JESD0106

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